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16.05.2014 09:24:26

Reform laggards hold back eurozone growth - Quickview by European Economist Azad Zangan

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Reform laggards hold back eurozone growth

May 2014

 

In summary:

  • First quarter eurozone GDP is estimated to have grown by 0.2% (quarter-on-quarter) matching quarterly growth at the end of 2013 but disappointing the City, where consensus expectations were for an acceleration to 0.4% growth.
  • The main drivers of the disappointment came from France, Italy and the Netherlands - all of which continue to struggle with ongoing austerity and structural reforms.
  • Looking ahead, leading indicators suggest eurozone growth should accelerate over this year, but that Germany is likely to be the key driver, while France continues to struggle.
  • We continue to expect a cut in the main refinancing rate at the June meeting (to 0.1%), but no cuts to the deposit rate, nor the introduction of quantitative easing.

Full Article

 Quickview: Reform laggards hold back eurozone growth

   by Azad Zangana, European Economist

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